Mark McGwire--A Look Back and A Look Forward

by Mark Bausch

posted July 25, 1999

Even casual sports fans in North America know that Mark McGwire, in the 1998 regular season, hit 70 home runs and smashed Roger Maris' record of 61 homers in a single season.

But St. Louis Sports Online readers were among the first to be made aware of the fact that McGwire, in 1998, managed only 61 singles.

Meaning that McGwire, in 1998, duplicated a feat (more homers than singles, in a given season) that had been accomplished only once previously.

The first player to hit more homers than singles in a single season?

Well, that was McGwire, too.

In his injury-plagued 1995 season, Mark McGwire had 35 homers and 31 singles.

And through July 25, 1999, Big Mac is playing the same exciting game: 35 homers and 36 singles.

Also exciting, in 1999, is McGwire's long and steady march to the 500 mark in career home runs.

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Assuming good health, Mark McGwire seems to be a lock to reach 500 in 1999...quite a feat considering that he surpassed the 400 mark during the previous 1998 campaign.

But there's one facet of Mac's 1998 season that is worth re-examining.

But first, a question.

How many of Mac's 1998 homers came when the count was three balls and no strikes?

As shown in the Table below, the answer is zero.

That's right. Mark McGwire, in 1998, did not hit a single home run when the count was 3-and-0.

70 HRs in '98--The Count Summary

 HR/count

 strikes

 HR total

 balls

 0

1

2

 0

 11

5

4

 20

 1

 9

9

7

 25

 2

 5

8

8

 21

 3

 0

2

2

 4

 HR total

 25

24

21

 70

70 HRs in '99--The Count Summary

 HR/count

 strikes

 HR total

 balls

 0

1

2

 0

 9

3

0

 13

 1

 4

8

1

 12

 2

 2

3

5

 10

 3

 0

0

3

 3

 HR total

 15

14

9

 38

Mac's HRs in '99
The Count Summary
click here for article

 HR/count

 strikes

 HR total

 balls

 0

1

2

 0

 9

3

0

 13

 1

 4

8

1

 12

 2

 2

3

5

 10

 3

 0

0

3

 3

 HR total

 15

14

9

 38

Surely, among the factors are at play here include the notion that pitchers falling behind Mac simply choose to pitch around him (or were pitching around him from the start).

But don't downplay McGwire's selectivity at the plate, either.

Especially since Tony La Russa, McGwire's manager, has stated over and over again that McGwire's best hitting results when he plays the game "the way it is supposed to be played". And any Little Leaguer knows you take a pitch on 3-and-0, right?

A few additional tid-bits from the "70 HRs in '98--The Count Summary" table:

In closing...weren't you surprised that none of Mac's 1998 homers came when the count was 3-and-0?